In this guide
Wimbledon is the most prestigious Grand Slam and one of the most actively traded tennis prediction markets. The grass court surface creates unique dynamics — big servers dominate, clay specialists underperform — giving knowledgeable tennis fans genuine edge over generalist traders.
Wimbledon 2026 Odds
Men's Singles favorites (PolyGram, May 2026):
- Carlos Alcaraz: ~28-32% — Reigning Wimbledon champion, peak grass form
- Novak Djokovic: ~18-22% — 7x champion, still elite on grass
- Jannik Sinner: ~15-18% — World No. 1, improving on grass
- Daniil Medvedev: ~6-9% — Struggles on grass historically
- Jack Draper: ~5-7% — British wildcard, strong serve
Women's Singles:
- Aryna Sabalenka: ~22-26%
- Iga Swiatek: ~16-20% — Grass historically weaker
- Barbora Krejcikova: ~10-14% — Defending champion
Grass Court Edge for Traders
- Serve statistics on grass matter more than on clay or hard court — check first-serve percentage and ace count
- Grass season form: Queen's Club and Halle results are the best predictors of Wimbledon performance
- Historical Wimbledon performance: some players consistently over/underperform their ranking on grass
- Draw bracket analysis: which quarter of the draw is easiest for each top seed?
FAQ
- When is Wimbledon 2026?
- Wimbledon 2026 runs for two weeks in late June/early July. Finals weekend is typically the second Sunday of the tournament.
- When do Wimbledon prediction markets resolve?
- Markets resolve within 24 hours of each championship match using official Wimbledon results.
- Are there individual match markets for Wimbledon?
- Yes — PolyGram offers match-level prediction markets for major Wimbledon matches including all four semi-finals and both finals.