توقع: Bitcoin price on August 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET price on 13 August 2026 will be determined by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at that specific timestamp. The settlement mechanism uses Binance's published candle data, with ties resolved to the higher bracket. This market requires precision on both timing and data source, as even minor discrepancies between exchanges or candle definitions could affect resolution.

Historical Bitcoin price movements show volatility clustering around macroeconomic announcements and regulatory developments rather than calendar-specific patterns. The 0% implied probability suggests the market has not yet crystallised around any particular price range, or traders are awaiting clearer directional signals before committing capital. Bitcoin's intraday moves of 2–5% are routine; establishing which bracket will contain the noon close requires tracking both medium-term trend direction and short-term momentum into mid-August 2026.

Traders should monitor Federal Reserve communications, inflation data releases, and any cryptocurrency-specific regulation announcements in the weeks preceding the settlement date. Geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite and capital flows into digital assets will also shape Bitcoin's positioning. The exact candle close depends on order flow during that precise minute on Binance, making real-time liquidity conditions and any flash volatility relevant to final settlement.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Bitcoin price on August 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.