Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Leo Team (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Leo Team (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Leo Team (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Leo Team (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Leo Team (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-6.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-9.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bushido Wildcats meet Leo Team in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 playoffs with a best-of-three format that usually rewards deeper map pools rather than a one-map spike in form. Recent match data points to Bushido entering with stronger short-term momentum, including a five-match winning run and an 82% win rate over the last month, while Leo’s recent record is steadier but less explosive. [1]
The head-to-head is the main reason a 100% yes price needs caution in a BO3. Bushido have lost the prior series against Leo 0-2 in February 2026, and earlier comparable meetings in 2025 also went Leo’s way, although the historical sample is small and mixed across different event contexts. Bushido’s map profile is more volatile: they have looked reliable on Dust2, but their Nuke numbers are notably weak, which matters in a playoff series where veto order can decide whether the underdog gets forced into comfort or exposed early. [1][5][6]
For traders, the key catalysts are late lineup confirmation, veto order, and any schedule movement before the settlement window closes. The listed starters for both sides are unchanged in the available match data, with Bushido fielding Darendeli, Muk0s, cadnyx, Vej and cacan, and Leo using drac, leen, Tarkky, next1me and aimy, but there is no live tournament statistics feed for this fixture yet. [1] If the match is delayed, abandoned, or altered by forfeiture logic, the market rules can still shift the outcome away from a straightforward win resolution, so the decisive items are whether the series starts on time and whether it is completed normally. [4][1]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (… on احتمالات كأس العالم
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