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توقع: Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

"توقع: Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 62% Map 2 Winner 56% Map 1 Winner 53% Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5) 50% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $90K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.562%
Map 2 Winner56%
Map 1 Winner53%
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs INOX Division (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Match Winner46%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.517%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 62% YES probability for توقع: Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between INOX Division and Butterfly in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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