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توقع: Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $190K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SINQU Rehti (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-9.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+9.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SINQU Rehti (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PSN.A (-1.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: SINQU Rehti (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5)0%

Market context

Passion Academy’s BO3 with SINQU Rehti in the European Pro League Group B is a loser-side match with little recent head-to-head history to anchor pricing, so the market is leaning almost entirely on current form and team quality rather than direct precedent. The available pre-match data points to Passion Academy carrying the weaker profile: one source lists them with five straight defeats, a 0% win rate over the past month, and only a 28% win rate over the last six months, while SINQU Rehti’s recent numbers are better but still modest, with one source showing just 1 win in their last 5 and another giving them a 28.6% recent win rate.[2][6][7][15]

That explains why a 0% YES line is more a reflection of execution risk than any proven mismatch. In comparable low-tier online BO3s, the team with the cleaner map pool and fewer recent losses usually attracts the early move, but these markets can still flip quickly if a roster list changes or if one side arrives with a substitute; the published line-ups currently show starters for both teams, and there is no recorded head-to-head in the last six months.[2][8][15] The main catalyst to watch is whether the match runs on schedule and under the listed rosters, because the market resolves 50-50 if it is not played, tied, or pushed beyond the seven-day window.[1][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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