Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Red Feet and QUINTESSÊNCIA meet in the lower bracket round 3 of CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs on 13 August 2026, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The best-of-three format gives either squad a path to recovery after earlier defeats, though only one progresses. The 0% implied probability suggests minimal trading activity or a technical pricing anomaly rather than genuine consensus that Red Feet cannot win.
South American Counter-Strike lower brackets frequently feature volatile outcomes, particularly when teams face elimination pressure. Historical CCT Challengers data shows that seeding and group-stage performance correlate weakly with lower-bracket results, where roster cohesion and recent scrim form often override pre-tournament expectations. Teams entering elimination matches with fresh tactical adjustments or roster changes have posted surprising runs, making early-round lower-bracket matchups difficult to forecast with confidence.
Traders should monitor announcements regarding player availability, stand-ins, or last-minute line-up changes in the 48 hours before the scheduled 5:00 PM ET start. CCT South America events have experienced fixture delays due to connectivity issues or administrative scheduling conflicts, which would trigger the seven-day postponement clause. Recent roster news from either organisation, particularly any changes to in-game leaders or primary riflers, would materially shift match dynamics. The settlement window closes 14 August at 03:15 UTC, allowing roughly 22 hours post-match for official confirmation before resolution.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3… on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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