Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 98% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 98% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 98% |
| Match Winner | 94% |
| Ends in Daytime | 91% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 91% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 90% |
| Game 2 Winner | 75% |
| Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | 75% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 60% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 26% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 2% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 2% |
Market context
Team Falcons and GamerLegion meet in The International 2026 group stage on 14 August, with the match scheduled for 22:00 ET. The fixture carries weight in determining seeding for the subsequent playoff bracket, making group-stage positioning material to both squads' tournament trajectories. Team Falcons enter as the implied favourites at 62 per cent, reflecting their standing within the competitive Dota 2 circuit heading into the event.
Historical context suggests that regional representation and recent LAN performance heavily influence outcomes in International group stages. Teams arriving with momentum from regional qualifiers and preceding online tournaments typically sustain that form through early rounds, though upsets occur when preparation gaps emerge or meta shifts favour unconventional drafting. GamerLegion's ability to compete hinges on whether their recent scrim results and patch adaptation match Falcons' preparation depth. Head-to-head records between these organisations carry limited predictive weight if either has undergone roster changes or coaching adjustments in the preceding months.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding any schedule adjustments, player availability confirmations, or last-minute roster clarifications released before the settlement window closes on 15 August at 08:00 ET. The Dota Pro Circuit's official channels and team social media accounts typically confirm line-ups 48 hours prior to matches. Any postponement would reset the deadline to 28 August, extending the resolution period. Patch notes released immediately before the event could shift draft priorities and advantage whichever team has more flexible hero pools or faster adaptation cycles.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Th… on احتمالات كأس العالم
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