Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5) | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
Market context
Team Yandex and HULIGANI are scheduled to face off in a best-of-three Dota 2 match during The International group stage on 13 August at 1:00 AM ET. The fixture represents an early-stage encounter where seeding implications remain fluid, and both rosters will be testing their patch adaptation and coordination against unfamiliar opposition in a high-stakes environment.
The 100% crowd probability reflects significant uncertainty about whether this match will proceed as scheduled rather than confidence in either team's victory prospects. The International's group stage has historically experienced fixture delays and cancellations due to technical issues, player visa complications, or scheduling conflicts with other tournaments. Previous editions saw matches rescheduled beyond the initial window, triggering resolution complications. Given the settlement window closes just hours after the scheduled start time, any delay beyond the 7-day threshold would force a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.
Traders should monitor official The International communications for bracket confirmations and any roster changes through 12 August. Team Yandex's recent LAN performance and HULIGANI's qualifying results will indicate preparation levels, though limited head-to-head data exists between these squads. Patch notes released before the event and any last-minute stand-in announcements could shift competitive balance. The tight settlement window means fixture confirmation becomes the primary trading variable—any announcement of rescheduling beyond 20 August would materially alter market dynamics independent of in-game performance.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The In… on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →