توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Liquid face Team Yandex in a best-of-three Dota 2 fixture during The International group stage on 13 August 2026, with the match scheduled for 22:00 ET. The 100% crowd probability reflects Liquid's established pedigree in competitive Dota 2, though this pricing warrants scrutiny given the limited public information available on Yandex's current roster composition and recent tournament performance leading into The International.

Liquid's historical record at The International spans multiple top-four finishes and a championship victory in 2017, establishing them as consistent performers at the event's highest level. However, The International's group stage format has produced notable upsets in recent iterations, particularly when established teams face unfamiliar opposition or encounter roster instability. The 100% implied probability suggests minimal uncertainty, which typically indicates either exceptionally strong recent form data or a significant information asymmetry favouring Liquid among traders.

Key variables for settlement include confirmation of both rosters by the tournament's official announcement window and any last-minute schedule adjustments. Traders should monitor Yandex's recent LAN results and qualifier performance, as well as any roster changes or player substitutions announced within 48 hours of the scheduled start time. The settlement window closes at 08:00 UTC on 14 August, allowing a 10-hour buffer beyond the match's scheduled completion. Any postponement beyond 7 days from the original 13 August start time would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, a consideration if unforeseen circumstances affect tournament logistics.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.