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توقع: LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 85% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 71% Game 3 Winner 70% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $706K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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توقع: LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner71%
Game 3 Winner70%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)70%
Game 4 Winner62%
O/U 3.5 Games57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?55%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?44%
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?41%
O/U 4.5 Games23%
Any Player Penta Kill11%

Market context

توقع: LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 85%. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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