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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 79% Game 1 Winner 69% Game 3 Winner 66% O/U 3.5 Games 65% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $412K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Game 1 Winner69%
Game 3 Winner66%
O/U 3.5 Games65%
Game 2 Winner64%
Game 4 Winner60%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)57%
Odd/Even Total Kills55%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?54%
First Blood in Game 3?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?38%
First Blood in Game 1?37%
Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)31%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 79% chance of توقع: lol: flyquest vs shopify rebellion (bo5) - lcs playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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