Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
Market context
KRÜ Esports against G2 Esports is a best-of-three in VCT Americas Stage 2, and the 0% YES price is easy to read against the recent matchup history. G2 have taken all of the last five to six meetings reported across live match trackers, including a 2-0 win in May and another 2-0 in the most recent comparable listing, while KRÜ have not beaten G2 in the current head-to-head sample.[3][4][5][6] That sort of one-sided series record matters more in a short BO3 than in a longer format, because it suggests G2’s map veto and mid-series adjustments have consistently translated into wins rather than just close scorelines.[3][4]
Form has also leaned G2’s way, even if neither side has been especially clean recently. Stadio’s connected sample shows KRÜ at 1-4 and G2 at 1-4 over the last five, while BO3’s match page notes KRÜ’s broader half-year win rate at 40% versus 31% year-to-date and flags only one win in their last five; the same page lists G2 with the stronger recent profile and the same 100% H2H edge.[3][4] The likely price driver now is not starpower but execution: if KRÜ’s current line-up holds and they can force the series into comfort maps, the market can be challenged; if G2 keep the same roster core of jawgemo, valyn, leaf, babybay and trent, the historical mismatch remains the dominant read.[4]
The main catalyst to watch is simple scheduling and line-up confirmation rather than injuries or suspensions, because none are flagged in the available match data.[4][10] The match was listed for 30 July/31 July depending on time zone handling across trackers, so traders should watch for any official delay, server issue, or change in the published start time that could push settlement towards the market’s 50-50 fallback if the series is not completed promptly.[1][3][6] If the game starts on time, the first map veto is the cleanest live signal for whether KRÜ can escape the pattern of repeated losses or whether G2’s long-standing matchup control is still intact.[3][4]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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