توقع: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Platform comparison

Market context

WTI crude oil has spent much of 2026 trading in a range defined by supply expectations rather than demand panic, with major forecasters still split between a softer and a firmer second half. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook implies a materially lower 2026 path for WTI than the more bullish bank forecasts, while Reuters’ May poll put the 2026 WTI average at $84.63, and BMO has said it now expects WTI to average about $60/bbl in 2026 after revising up and then warning of a slide below $85 in Q4.[2][13][11] That spread matters for this market because an August print has to clear not just the consensus average, but also the monthly ceiling embedded in many house views; several published August 2026 forecast ranges sit roughly in the mid-$40s to high-$80s, which still implies a wide distribution of outcomes rather than a tightly anchored level.[3][1]

For traders, the key catalysts are inventories, OPEC+ supply decisions, and any disruption to Middle East flows, with the EIA explicitly tying its June STEO scenario to assumptions about the Strait of Hormuz and the pace at which shut-in production returns.[2] August also sits after the late-July contract roll and before the end-of-summer demand shift, so changes in refinery runs, driving-season demand, and hurricane-related outages can move the front-month settlement quickly even if the broader trend is sideways.[16][20] A recent Reuters survey also showed analysts raising 2026 oil forecasts again on slow recovery in energy flows, which underlines that fresh supply news or geopolitical escalation could still push the market above current crowd-implied odds for a sharp August move.[13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

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FAQ

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