توقع: "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office

Platform comparison

Market context

The second weekend box office for *The Odyssey* is being shaped by a strong first frame, with domestic tracking already showing a very large opening and unusually heavy weekday business for a premium-format release. Deadline reported the film had reached $199.3 million domestic through Wednesday, while multiple forecasters moved the second-weekend call into the $61.8 million to $87 million band, implying a hold in the 40% to 50% drop range rather than a steeper front-loaded fall.[3][5][2]

That context makes the current 0% YES price easy to understand if the market’s upside brackets are well above the consensus range, but it also leaves room for a surprise if the hold proves closer to the strongest comparisons. The key historical reference is *Oppenheimer*-style retention: box office outlets cited by Forbes, Deadline and Box Office Theory have pointed to a second weekend around $70 million to $85 million, with some model-based forecasts as low as $69 million to $81 million and others as high as $84.5 million.[2][4][16] One tracker also noted the market had previously clustered around $80 million to $86 million, showing how quickly sentiment can move when weekday holds remain solid.[9][13]

For traders, the main catalysts are the final Friday-to-Sunday daily numbers from The Numbers, plus whether the film keeps its premium large-format screens through the frame. Deadline said *The Odyssey* would hold all IMAX and PLF screens for the second weekend, and several previews stressed that the lack of major new studio competition is supporting the hold case.[5][2] Any revision to theatre count, Friday actuals, or Sunday estimates will matter because this market settles on final domestic weekend gross, not studio estimates.[15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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