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توقع: Next Prime Minister of Romania?

"توقع: Next Prime Minister of Romania?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Alexandru Nazare 47% Eugen Tomac 25% Sorin Grindeanu 13% Ilie Bolojan 3% Volume: $3.5M Liquidity: $802K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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توقع: Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
47% 53% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
47% 53% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Alexandru Nazare47%
Eugen Tomac25%
Sorin Grindeanu13%
Ilie Bolojan3%
Ionuț Dumitru1%
Radu Burnete1%
Mugur Isărescu0%
Mircea Geoană0%
Anca Dragu0%
Lucian Isar0%
Cătălin Predoiu0%
George Simion0%
Marcel Ciolacu0%
Alexandru Rafila0%
Sebastian Burduja0%
Elena Lasconi0%
Cătălin Drulă0%
Vasile Dîncu0%
Dacian Cioloș0%
Emil Boc0%
Dominic Fritz0%
Raluca Turcan0%
Lucian Croitoru0%
Delia Velculescu0%
Nicolae Ciucă0%
Hunor Kelemen0%
Calin Georgescu0%
Șerban Matei0%
Alexandru Rogobete0%
Dragoș Pîslaru0%
Traian Basescu0%
Dan Motreanu0%
Victor Ponta0%
Ciprian Ciucu0%
Siegfried Mureșan0%
Adrian Veștea0%
Person O0%
Person P0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Person Z0%
Other0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 47% YES probability for توقع: Next Prime Minister of Romania?. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be forma…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Next Prime Minister of Romania?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

Politics