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توقع: PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

"توقع: PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Scottie Scheffler 24% Rory McIlroy 7% Xander Schauffele 6% Ludvig Aberg 5% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $701K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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توقع: PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler24%
Rory McIlroy7%
Xander Schauffele6%
Ludvig Aberg5%
Keith Mitchell5%
Cameron Young5%
Sam Burns4%
Matt Fitzpatrick4%
Viktor Hovland4%
Si Woo Kim4%
Collin Morikawa4%
Patrick Cantlay3%
Wyndham Clark3%
Tommy Fleetwood3%
Chris Gotterup3%
Kurt Kitayama3%
Jake Knapp3%
Hideki Matsuyama3%
Maverick McNealy3%
Justin Rose3%
Michael Brennan2%
Jacob Bridgeman2%
Nicolas Echavarria2%
Rickie Fowler2%
Ryan Fox2%
Ryan Gerard2%
Russell Henley2%
Ryo Hisatsune2%
Nicolai Hojgaard2%
Tom Kim2%
Min Woo Lee2%
Alexander Noren2%
JT Poston2%
Aaron Rai2%
Kristoffer Reitan2%
Adam Scott2%
J.J. Spaun2%
Sahith Theegala2%
Justin Thomas2%
Michael Thorbjornsen2%
Gary Woodland2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eric Cole1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Ben Griffin1%
Robert MacIntyre1%
Alex Smalley1%
Sepp Straka1%
Matt McCarty0%
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Other0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 24% YES probability for توقع: PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on th…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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