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توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Football snapshot for "توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Michael Thorbjornsen 100% Ludvig Aberg 0% Akshay Bhatia 0% Jacob Bridgeman 0% Volume: $99K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen100%
Ludvig Aberg0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Sam Burns0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Bud Cauley0%
Wyndham Clark0%
Eric Cole0%
Corey Conners0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Harris English0%
Steven Fisk0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Matt Fitzpatrick0%
Tommy Fleetwood0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Ryan Fox0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Russell Henley0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Max Homa0%
Viktor Hovland0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Michael Kim0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Tom Kim0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Jake Knapp0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Min Woo Lee0%
Shane Lowry0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Matt McCarty0%
Rory McIlroy0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Collin Morikawa0%
Alexander Noren0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Aaron Rai0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Justin Rose0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Scottie Scheffler0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Adam Scott0%
Alex Smalley0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Jordan Spieth0%
Sam Stevens0%
Sepp Straka0%
Nick Taylor0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Justin Thomas0%
Gary Woodland0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Cameron Young0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: pga tour: fedex st. jude championship first round leader. This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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