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توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Scottie Scheffler 63% Steven Fisk 13% Viktor Hovland 8% Ludvig Aberg 6% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler63%
Steven Fisk13%
Viktor Hovland8%
Ludvig Aberg6%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Sung-Jae Im4%
Jordan Spieth3%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Brian Harman2%
Cameron Young2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Sam Burns1%
Ricky Castillo1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eric Cole1%
Corey Conners1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Harris English1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Matt Fitzpatrick1%
Rickie Fowler1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Chris Gotterup1%
Ben Griffin1%
Harry Hall1%
Russell Henley1%
Ryo Hisatsune1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Max Homa1%
Michael Kim1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Shane Lowry1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Matt McCarty1%
Rory McIlroy1%
Maverick McNealy1%
Keith Mitchell1%
Collin Morikawa1%
Alexander Noren1%
JT Poston1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Justin Rose1%
Xander Schauffele1%
Matthias Schmid1%
Adam Scott1%
Alex Smalley1%
Jordan L. Smith1%
J.J. Spaun1%
Sam Stevens1%
Sepp Straka1%
Nick Taylor1%
Sahith Theegala1%
Justin Thomas1%
Michael Thorbjornsen1%
Gary Woodland1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju1%
Pierceson Coody0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Player 00%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 63% probability to توقع: pga tour: fedex st. jude championship winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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