Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to توقع: los cabos open, qualification: tristan boyer vs bernard tomic. This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Bernard Tomic in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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