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توقع: Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta 100% Completed Match 100% Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner 100% Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $200K Closes: 31 Oct 2026
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توقع: Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta100%
Completed Match100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-1.5100%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: erste bank open, qualification: jacob fearnley vs pablo carreno busta. This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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