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توقع: Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing 100% Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 1 Winner 100% Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 2 Winner 50% Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $76K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
Open live market →
توقع: Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing100%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 1 Winner100%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 2 Winner50%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Match O/U 21.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Match O/U 22.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Match O/U 23.550%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match0%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: istanbul 2: antoine ghibaudo vs max basing stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Antoine Ghibaudo and Max Basing in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basing. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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