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توقع: Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz

"توقع: Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 66% Volume: $301K Liquidity: $91K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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توقع: Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.566%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-2.563%
Completed Match55%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.550%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.550%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.550%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.526%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner25%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz14%
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: chengdu open: lloyd harris vs hubert hurkacz. This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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