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توقع: Fresno State vs. USC

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Fresno State vs. USC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -1.5 100% O/U 31.5 100% 1H Spread -11.5 100% 1H Spread -12.5 100% Volume: $175K Liquidity: $260K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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توقع: Fresno State vs. USC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
1H Spread -11.5100%
1H Spread -12.5100%
1H Spread -13.5100%
1H Spread -14.5100%
1H Spread -15.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -8.5100%
USC 1H O/U 18.5100%
USC 1H O/U 20.5100%
USC 1H O/U 22.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
2Q Spread -9.5100%
Spread -2.598%
Spread -3.598%
Spread -4.598%
Spread -5.598%
Spread -6.598%
Spread -7.598%
Spread -10.598%
Spread -13.598%
Spread -16.598%
Spread -14.597%
Spread -17.597%
Spread: USC (-22.5)96%
Spread -20.596%
Spread -23.595%
Spread -21.595%
Spread -24.595%
O/U 37.594%
USC O/U 31.591%
USC O/U 30.591%
Spread -27.590%
USC O/U 34.584%
USC O/U 37.577%
O/U 43.569%
Spread -8.561%
O/U 45.561%
3Q Spread -2.561%
Spread -0.559%
3Q Spread -6.553%
3Q Spread -7.551%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 33.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 39.550%
O/U 41.550%
O/U 47.550%
O/U 57.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Fresno State O/U 8.550%
Fresno State O/U 11.550%
Fresno State O/U 17.550%
USC O/U 40.550%
USC O/U 43.550%
King Miller: Anytime Touchdown50%
Waymond Jordan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tanook Hines: Anytime Touchdown50%
Trent Mosley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rayshon Luke: Anytime Touchdown50%
Bryson Donelson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mark Bowman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Maiava: Anytime Touchdown50%
Josiah Freeman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Corey Simms: Anytime Touchdown50%
Riley Wormley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Zach Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ethan Feaster: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tariq Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Mandal: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tucker Ashcraft: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jake Appleget: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jahlil McClain: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ezekiel Avit: Anytime Touchdown50%
Harold Duvall: Anytime Touchdown50%
4Q Spread -2.550%
USC O/U 33.550%
USC O/U 36.550%
USC O/U 39.550%
USC O/U 42.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
3Q Spread -3.549%
2H Moneyline48%
4Q Spread -6.545%
4Q Spread -7.542%
O/U 49.538%
O/U 51.535%
O/U 53.521%
Fresno State O/U 14.518%
O/U 55.517%
Fresno State O/U 20.514%
O/U 61.56%
O/U 67.55%
Fresno State vs. USC0%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Fresno State 1H O/U 5.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 7.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 9.50%

Market context

Fresno State vs. USC. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T01:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 100% for "توقع: Fresno State vs. USC".

Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $175K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Fresno State vs. USC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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