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توقع: Texas State vs. Texas

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Texas State vs. Texas" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread: Texas (-30.5) 100% O/U 60.5 100% O/U 59.5 100% Spread -29.5 100% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $319K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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توقع: Texas State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread: Texas (-30.5)100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
Spread -29.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
Spread -27.5100%
Spread -31.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
1H Spread -15.5100%
1H Spread -16.5100%
1H Spread -17.5100%
1H Spread -18.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -8.5100%
Texas O/U 38.5100%
Texas O/U 41.5100%
Texas O/U 44.5100%
Texas O/U 47.5100%
Texas O/U 50.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 22.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 24.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 26.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 18.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 20.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 22.5100%
Spread -0.591%
Spread -1.591%
Spread -2.591%
Spread -3.591%
Spread -4.591%
Spread -5.591%
Spread -6.591%
Spread -7.591%
Spread -8.591%
Spread -16.591%
Spread -34.591%
2H Spread -10.591%
2H Spread -11.591%
2H Spread -12.591%
2H Spread -13.591%
2H Spread -14.591%
4Q Spread -4.591%
4Q Spread -5.591%
4Q Spread -6.591%
4Q Spread -7.591%
4Q Spread -8.591%
2H Spread -9.591%
2H Spread -15.591%
Spread -14.590%
Spread -17.590%
2H Spread -17.551%
2H Spread -20.551%
1H Moneyline50%
Texas State O/U 1.550%
Texas O/U 5.550%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaliq Lockett: Anytime Touchdown50%
LaKeyleon Graves: Anytime Touchdown50%
Zechariah Sample: Anytime Touchdown50%
Blake Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -18.550%
2H Spread -19.550%
O/U 72.510%
O/U 74.510%
O/U 76.510%
O/U 78.510%
O/U 80.510%
2H Moneyline10%
4Q Moneyline10%
Texas State O/U 8.510%
Texas State O/U 11.510%
Texas State O/U 14.510%
Texas State O/U 17.510%
Texas State O/U 20.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 5.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 7.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 9.510%
Texas State vs. Texas0%
O/U 66.50%
O/U 68.50%
O/U 70.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Spread -12.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
Texas State 1H O/U 8.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%

Market context

Texas State vs. Texas. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T19:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread: Texas (-30.5) at 100% for "توقع: Texas State vs. Texas".

Spread: Texas (-30.5) 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Texas State vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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