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توقع: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs paiN (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)9%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs paiN (+9.5)9%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-12.5) vs paiN (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)0%

Market context

The توقع: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between paiN and Imperial in the Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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