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توقع: Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B

"توقع: Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-6.5) vs STATE (+6.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs STATE (+3.5) 100% Volume: $86K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-6.5) vs STATE (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs STATE (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-9.5) vs STATE (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-12.5) vs STATE (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: counter-strike: state vs g2 ares (bo3) - logitech g play connect closed qualifier group b. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between STATE and G2 Ares in the Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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