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توقع: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo

"توقع: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 75% National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo 59% National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 56% National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner 56% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $381K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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توقع: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.575%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo59%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner56%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner56%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 21.556%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 22.548%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 23.542%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.537%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.527%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.524%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to توقع: national bank open: alex michelsen vs francisco cerundolo. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Francisco Cerundolo in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Al…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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