Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: lyon open, qualification: otto virtanen vs vitaliy sachko. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Vitaliy Sachko in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This marke…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Lyon Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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