Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Paysandu SC PA O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Paysandu SC PA O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AD Confianca SE O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AD Confianca SE 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Paysandu SC PA 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Paysandu SC PA 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Paysandu SC PA (-1.5) | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE (-1.5) | 0% |
| Paysandu SC PA (-2.5) | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Paysandu SC PA O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Paysandu SC PA 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Paysandu SC PA 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| AD Confianca SE 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Paysandu SC host AD Confiança in a Série C fixture that has already produced a tight, low-margin head-to-head profile, with each side winning one of the last two meetings and neither match finishing level. The recent comparable sample points to narrow outcomes: the 2022 and 2023 league meetings ended 1-0 to the home side on each occasion, which is the main historical reason a 0% YES price looks aggressive if the market is trading on a broader “will there be another outcome?” angle rather than a simple match result.[1][9]
The current table context also matters. Paysandu are listed around mid-table with 23 points from 15 games, while Confiança are near the bottom with 12 points from 15, and recent form splits are not flattering for either side in a way that guarantees a one-sided script.[3][4] For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, late injury or suspension absences, and any adjustment to Paysandu’s home-strength assumptions, because away form has been poor for Confiança and the market can swing quickly if they name a conservative XI or if Paysandu rest attacking starters.[7][8] The match was scheduled for 10 August at Estádio Leônidas Sodré de Castro, so final team-news close to kick-off is the main dependency to watch.[3][4]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE - More Markets on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →