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توقع: Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $399K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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توقع: Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Paysandu SC PA O/U 0.5100%
Paysandu SC PA O/U 1.5100%
AD Confianca SE O/U 0.5100%
AD Confianca SE 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Paysandu SC PA 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Paysandu SC PA 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Paysandu SC PA (-1.5)0%
AD Confianca SE (-1.5)0%
Paysandu SC PA (-2.5)0%
AD Confianca SE (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Paysandu SC PA O/U 2.50%
AD Confianca SE O/U 1.50%
AD Confianca SE O/U 2.50%
Paysandu SC PA 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Paysandu SC PA 1st Half O/U 1.50%
AD Confianca SE 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
AD Confianca SE 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
AD Confianca SE 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Paysandu SC host AD Confiança in a Série C fixture that has already produced a tight, low-margin head-to-head profile, with each side winning one of the last two meetings and neither match finishing level. The recent comparable sample points to narrow outcomes: the 2022 and 2023 league meetings ended 1-0 to the home side on each occasion, which is the main historical reason a 0% YES price looks aggressive if the market is trading on a broader “will there be another outcome?” angle rather than a simple match result.[1][9]

The current table context also matters. Paysandu are listed around mid-table with 23 points from 15 games, while Confiança are near the bottom with 12 points from 15, and recent form splits are not flattering for either side in a way that guarantees a one-sided script.[3][4] For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, late injury or suspension absences, and any adjustment to Paysandu’s home-strength assumptions, because away form has been poor for Confiança and the market can swing quickly if they name a conservative XI or if Paysandu rest attacking starters.[7][8] The match was scheduled for 10 August at Estádio Leônidas Sodré de Castro, so final team-news close to kick-off is the main dependency to watch.[3][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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