Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Utah 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 97% |
| Spread -11.5 | 96% |
| Spread -6.5 | 96% |
| Spread -10.5 | 96% |
| Utah O/U 27.5 | 96% |
| Utah 1H O/U 19.5 | 96% |
| Utah 1H O/U 16.5 | 96% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 96% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 96% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 96% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 96% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 96% |
| Spread: Utah (-9.5) | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| Spread -14.5 | 94% |
| O/U 42.5 | 93% |
| Spread -13.5 | 92% |
| Spread -17.5 | 92% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Utah 1H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Utah 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Utah O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| Utah 1H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| Spread -16.5 | 90% |
| Utah O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| Spread -20.5 | 87% |
| Utah O/U 34.5 | 86% |
| O/U 48.5 | 83% |
| Spread -21.5 | 82% |
| Utah O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| Spread -24.5 | 80% |
| O/U 38.5 | 76% |
| O/U 40.5 | 76% |
| O/U 44.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 74% |
| O/U 46.5 | 73% |
| O/U 50.5 | 69% |
| Spread -27.5 | 68% |
| O/U 52.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 63% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| Spread -22.5 | 61% |
| O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Spread -28.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| Spread -29.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -31.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -32.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ricky Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Platt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Daniel Bray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Larry Simmons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donovan Faupel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Utah O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Byrd Ficklin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Steve Chavez-Soto: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Andrews: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah Bennee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Creed Whittemore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam Settles: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ismael Cisse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyri Shoels: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jelani Watkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -25.5 | 46% |
| Spread -34.5 | 45% |
| Spread -26.5 | 42% |
| Arkansas O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| O/U 68.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 70.5 | 31% |
| O/U 74.5 | 30% |
| O/U 76.5 | 28% |
| O/U 66.5 | 21% |
| Arkansas O/U 21.5 | 20% |
| Arkansas O/U 23.5 | 20% |
| Arkansas O/U 20.5 | 18% |
| O/U 72.5 | 10% |
| Arkansas O/U 27.5 | 8% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Arkansas vs. Utah | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: arkansas vs. utah. In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Utah, scheduled for September 12 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $194K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Arkansas vs. Utah. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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