Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Arizona State 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| O/U 39.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| Spread -2.5 | 89% |
| Spread -3.5 | 84% |
| Spread -4.5 | 82% |
| Spread -5.5 | 80% |
| Spread -6.5 | 78% |
| O/U 35.5 | 76% |
| Arizona State O/U 17.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Texas A&M O/U 30.5 | 69% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| Spread -9.5 | 66% |
| O/U 47.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -8.5 | 61% |
| O/U 49.5 | 60% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 50.5 | 55% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Texas A&M O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Arizona State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Omarion Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reed Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cutter Boley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marquis Gillis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Khamari Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Raiden Vines-Bright: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cardae Mack: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Brown Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Ia: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kelshaun Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Gregory: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaren Hamilton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| O/U 53.5 | 46% |
| Spread -15.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -16.5 | 42% |
| Texas A&M O/U 37.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Spread -18.5 | 38% |
| Spread -19.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 34% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| Spread -22.5 | 33% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 31% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| O/U 71.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 57.5 | 29% |
| Spread -20.5 | 26% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -21.5 | 20% |
| Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Spread -24.5 | 15% |
| O/U 63.5 | 15% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas A&M | 12% |
| Spread -27.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Arizona State vs. Texas A&M. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas A&M, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $315K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Arizona State vs. Texas A&M. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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