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توقع: Duke vs. Illinois

"توقع: Duke vs. Illinois" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 34.5 100% O/U 36.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $279K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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توقع: Duke vs. Illinois

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
Illinois O/U 23.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 8.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 10.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 12.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 12.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 14.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 16.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 9.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 11.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 13.5100%
Illinois O/U 22.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 11.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 13.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 15.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
1H O/U 31.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q O/U 8.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
2Q O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 20.5100%
O/U 42.598%
O/U 53.596%
O/U 54.595%
O/U 52.595%
O/U 56.593%
O/U 38.591%
O/U 40.591%
O/U 44.591%
1H Spread -1.591%
1H Spread -2.591%
Duke O/U 16.591%
Duke O/U 19.591%
Duke O/U 17.591%
Duke O/U 20.591%
Duke 1H O/U 14.591%
1H Spread -0.591%
O/U 60.587%
O/U 66.568%
Spread -1.565%
Spread -2.563%
O/U 51.556%
O/U 72.552%
O/U 48.551%
Spread -8.550%
Duke O/U 0.550%
Duke O/U 1.550%
Duke O/U 2.550%
Duke O/U 3.550%
Illinois O/U 0.550%
Illinois O/U 1.550%
Illinois O/U 2.550%
Illinois O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -3.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 70.550%
O/U 74.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Nate Sheppard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Collin Dixon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ca'Lil Valentine: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aidan Laughery: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah Hasley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Katin Houser: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hudson Clement: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jared Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brayden Trimble: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ty Robinson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaden Feagin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Christian Abney: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jonah Burton: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Walker Eget: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 22.550%
Duke O/U 25.550%
Duke O/U 28.550%
Illinois O/U 26.550%
Illinois O/U 29.550%
Illinois O/U 32.550%
Illinois O/U 35.550%
Duke O/U 2.550%
Illinois O/U 3.550%
Illinois O/U 25.550%
Illinois O/U 28.550%
Illinois O/U 31.550%
Illinois O/U 34.550%
Duke O/U 23.550%
Duke O/U 26.550%
Duke O/U 29.550%
CJ Campbell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Javen Nicholas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jake Taylor: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kavon Simmons: Anytime Touchdown50%
Duke 2H O/U 9.550%
Duke 2H O/U 11.550%
Duke 2H O/U 13.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 11.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 13.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 15.550%
Duke 2H O/U 10.550%
Duke 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke 2H O/U 14.550%
Duke 2H O/U 15.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 12.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 14.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -26.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 8.550%
4Q O/U 11.550%
4Q O/U 14.550%
4Q O/U 17.550%
4Q O/U 20.550%
Duke 2H O/U 8.550%
Spread -4.547%
Spread -24.547%
Spread -5.546%
Spread -6.542%
Spread -7.538%
Spread -11.537%
Spread -9.533%
Duke vs. Illinois31%
Spread -1.531%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -10.526%
Spread -11.523%
Spread -13.521%
Spread -4.518%
Spread -14.517%
Spread -16.513%
1H Moneyline10%
2Q Spread -0.510%
2Q Spread -1.510%
2Q Spread -2.510%
2Q Spread -3.510%
2Q Spread -4.510%
Spread -7.510%
2Q Spread -3.510%
2Q Spread -1.510%
2Q Spread -0.510%
Spread -17.59%
1H Spread -3.59%
1H Spread -4.59%
1H Spread -5.59%
1H Spread -7.59%
Spread -10.58%
Spread -27.57%
Spread -20.56%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -23.55%
Spread -14.53%
1Q Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: duke vs. illinois stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Illinois, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. This market will …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 34.5 at 100% for "توقع: Duke vs. Illinois".

O/U 34.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $129K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Duke vs. Illinois. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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