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توقع: Villanova vs. Louisville

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Villanova vs. Louisville" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 36.5 100% O/U 38.5 100% O/U 40.5 100% 1H Spread -18.5 100% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $374K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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توقع: Villanova vs. Louisville

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
1H Spread -18.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
1H Spread -20.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
Villanova O/U 3.5100%
Villanova O/U 6.5100%
Villanova O/U 9.5100%
1Q Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -11.5100%
Villanova O/U 1.5100%
Villanova O/U 4.5100%
Villanova O/U 7.5100%
1Q Spread -12.5100%
Villanova O/U 2.5100%
Villanova O/U 5.5100%
Villanova O/U 8.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 25.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 27.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 29.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 1.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 3.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 5.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
1H O/U 31.5100%
1H O/U 34.5100%
1H O/U 37.5100%
1Q Spread -13.5100%
1Q O/U 8.5100%
1Q O/U 11.5100%
1Q O/U 14.5100%
1Q O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
O/U 44.599%
Spread -14.596%
Spread -16.596%
Spread -17.595%
O/U 50.595%
Spread -20.593%
Spread -21.590%
O/U 54.588%
Spread -24.584%
Spread -27.582%
O/U 55.580%
Spread -31.579%
Spread -23.578%
O/U 42.577%
O/U 46.577%
O/U 48.576%
O/U 52.576%
Spread -32.575%
O/U 57.575%
O/U 60.574%
O/U 56.573%
Spread -34.571%
Spread -30.567%
O/U 58.564%
Spread -29.562%
Spread -5.556%
Spread -4.553%
Spread -0.552%
Spread -1.552%
Spread -2.552%
Spread -3.552%
Spread -6.552%
Spread -8.552%
Spread -10.552%
Spread -33.552%
Villanova O/U 0.550%
Villanova O/U 1.550%
Villanova O/U 2.550%
Villanova O/U 3.550%
Louisville O/U 0.550%
Louisville O/U 1.550%
Louisville O/U 2.550%
Louisville O/U 3.550%
Spread -7.550%
Spread -13.550%
2H Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Villanova O/U 12.550%
Villanova O/U 15.550%
Louisville O/U 40.550%
Louisville O/U 43.550%
Louisville O/U 46.550%
Louisville O/U 49.550%
Louisville O/U 52.550%
Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Isaiah Ragland: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ja'briel Mace: Anytime Touchdown50%
4Q Spread -4.550%
Louisville O/U 39.550%
Louisville O/U 42.550%
Louisville O/U 45.550%
Louisville O/U 48.550%
Louisville O/U 51.550%
Villanova O/U 10.550%
Villanova O/U 13.550%
Louisville O/U 41.550%
Louisville O/U 44.550%
Louisville O/U 47.550%
Louisville O/U 50.550%
Louisville O/U 53.550%
Villanova O/U 11.550%
Villanova O/U 14.550%
Spread -52.550%
Spread -55.550%
Spread -58.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -18.550%
2H Spread -19.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
2H O/U 34.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q Spread -11.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Villanova 2H O/U 2.550%
Villanova 2H O/U 4.550%
Villanova 2H O/U 6.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 21.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 23.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 25.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -15.550%
Spread -37.549%
O/U 62.548%
Spread -35.547%
O/U 64.543%
Spread -40.543%
Spread -41.539%
Spread -51.539%
O/U 70.537%
O/U 76.537%
O/U 72.536%
Spread -42.536%
Spread -43.536%
Spread -44.536%
Spread -46.535%
Spread -48.533%
Spread -36.532%
O/U 68.531%
Spread -54.530%
O/U 66.526%
Spread -38.524%
Spread -39.524%
Spread -45.522%
O/U 74.518%
Villanova vs. Louisville0%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -22.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Spread -12.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
1H Spread -23.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -24.50%
1H Spread -25.50%
1H Spread -27.50%
1Q O/U 20.50%
2Q Spread -17.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%

Market context

The توقع: Villanova vs. Louisville prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Villanova and Louisville, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villanova" if Villanova win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 36.5 at 100% for "توقع: Villanova vs. Louisville".

O/U 36.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $76K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Villanova vs. Louisville. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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