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توقع: 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Football snapshot for "توقع: 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 100% 1. FC Cologne 0 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1% 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1% 1. FC Cologne 0 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 0% Volume: $2.2M Liquidity: $155K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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توقع: 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian100%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian1%
1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian1%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 2 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 2 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Real Sociedad’s visit to Cologne is a classic friendly market where scoreline volatility matters more than outright strength. The recent form lines in the live match listings point to both sides being involved in open games: Köln have had a 2-2 draw with Hertha and a 5-1 defeat at Bayern among their latest summer fixtures, while Real Sociedad have mixed a 2-1 loss to Toulouse with wins over Aston Villa and Wolves earlier in the same run. That profile fits a market where the crowd’s 0% price on any single exact score leaves room for a fairly broad set of outcomes, especially if either coach uses the match to test combinations rather than settle on a rigid XI.[1][7][10]

The main catalyst is squad selection. Fox Sports’ pre-match player news says Takefusa Kubo is in Real Sociedad’s squad for the double header in Cologne, which is the kind of detail that can shift exact-score pricing if he starts rather than appears late from the bench.[7] For Köln, the key watchpoint is whether they keep the same loose, high-event pattern seen in recent friendlies; FootyStats’ sample for this fixture type shows Köln averaging 4.5 goals per match and Real Sociedad 3.1 in international club-friendlies data, with both teams scoring frequently.[5] There is also a historical frame: UEFA’s head-to-head record between the clubs is limited to two Europa League games in 1988/89, producing one draw and one Sociedad win, so there is little direct matchup evidence to anchor an exact score beyond general style and current squad usage.[13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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