Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London | 0% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
The Hundred fixture between Southern Brave and MI London on 27 July 2026 represents a domestic T20 competition match in England's premier franchise tournament. The current 0% YES probability reflects either a technical settlement issue, missing fixture data, or an extreme market conviction that one side will not compete. Given The Hundred's established fixture calendar and both franchises' operational status, a complete non-event remains unlikely unless a late withdrawal or cancellation occurs before the settlement window closes on 3 August.
Historical context for The Hundred shows that matches rarely fail to occur once scheduled, with fixture cancellations typically announced weeks in advance due to venue conflicts or administrative changes. The tournament's commercial importance and broadcaster commitments mean postponements are managed through rescheduling rather than outright abandonment. A 0% probability suggests traders may be pricing in either incomplete market information or a misalignment between the market's underlying assumption and actual fixture status.
Key catalysts to monitor include official team announcements regarding squad availability, any venue-related disruptions at the scheduled ground, and confirmation from the ECB or competition organisers closer to match day. Weather forecasts for late July 2026 in the relevant region warrant attention, though The Hundred typically includes reserve days for weather delays. Confirmation of final squad lists and any late injury withdrawals affecting star players could shift market sentiment, particularly if key performers are ruled out. Traders should verify fixture confirmation through ESPNcricinfo and official Hundred communications before the settlement window closes.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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