Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds - Completed match? | 50% |
| The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds | 0% |
Market context
Manchester Super Giants and Sunrisers Leeds will contest a women's Hundred match on 11 August 2026, with the current 0% YES probability reflecting either a technical settlement issue or an absence of meaningful trading activity. The Hundred's compressed format—20 overs per side—historically produces volatile results, particularly when squad composition shifts between seasons or key players are unavailable.
The 0% reading warrants scrutiny against The Hundred's actual competitive landscape. Manchester Super Giants have fielded competitive squads in recent editions, whilst Sunrisers Leeds emerged as a franchise in 2022 and have shown variable performance. Head-to-head records in The Hundred remain limited given the competition's relative youth; traders should examine 2024 and 2025 results between these sides for baseline form indicators. Franchise T20 cricket frequently sees outcomes shift on the availability of overseas players, domestic injury lists, and late squad announcements—factors that can move markets sharply in the weeks preceding matches.
Settlement hinges on the playing conditions specified by the ECB for the 2026 edition. The market explicitly recognises DLS adjustments, over-rate penalties, and Super Over outcomes as ordinary wins. Traders should monitor squad announcements in July 2026, particularly confirmation of overseas availability and any late injury withdrawals that might affect batting depth or bowling options. The settlement window closes at 09:45 UTC on 18 August, allowing roughly one week post-match for any administrative clarifications on the result.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $145K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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