Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 50% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London host Trent Rockets in The Hundred Women’s competition with the standings still pointing one way: Trent Rockets are top on 20 points from six matches, while MI London are down in seventh with just one win, four losses and a tie. The market’s 0% YES pricing fits that gap in recent output, especially given Trent Rockets’ strong net run rate and the fact they have already beaten several sides this season while MI London have struggled to turn competitive starts into completed wins.[1][3][12]
The historical read is also one-sided. In recent head-to-heads, MI London have had the upper hand, winning four of the last five meetings, including a narrow 109/7 to 113/4 loss for Trent Rockets last season, but that record is less useful than the current-season form split because this year’s Rockets side have been far more coherent across batting and bowling.[3] Comparable close finishes matter mainly as a reminder that The Hundred can compress the gap in a single innings, yet MI London’s poor numbers this season, including a negative net run rate, make a straight upset harder to price in at anything other than a long shot.[3][12][14]
For traders, the key catalysts are selection and toss. Cricbuzz reported Trent Rockets Women won the toss and chose to bowl at the Kennington Oval, which slightly favours their current chase-heavy confidence and puts pressure on MI London to post a total first.[8] Any late changes to the MI London attack, or confirmation that established contributors such as Hayley Matthews and Amelia Kerr are fully available, would be the main swing factor; on the Rockets side, Beth Mooney, Sophia Dunkley and Ashleigh Gardner remain the batting and all-round pillars that have driven their run to the top of the table.[1][5][10]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $109K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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