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توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins

"توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) 100% Volume: $229K Liquidity: $464K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)26%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between 100 Thieves and 1WIN in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 12:00PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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