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توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Football snapshot for "توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) 100% Match Winner 81% Map 2 Winner 62% Volume: $262K Liquidity: $41K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)100%
Match Winner81%
Map 2 Winner62%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)57%
O/U 2.5 Games53%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between 100 Thieves and Heroic in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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