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توقع: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $891K Liquidity: $74K Closes: 16 Oct 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.561%
Match Winner54%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.519%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: counter-strike: astralis vs mibr (bo3) - stake pulse beat iii playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Astralis and MIBR in the Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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