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توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

"توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 82% Game 1 Winner 75% Game 2 Winner 75% Both Teams Beat Roshan 57% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $703K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 1 Winner75%
Game 2 Winner75%
Both Teams Beat Roshan57%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?57%
First Blood in Game 2?56%
Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)54%
Any Player Ultra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Any Player Rampage52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?41%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Any Player Ultra Kill31%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: dota 2: iron wing vs gamerlegion (bo3) - the international elimination round stands at 82% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Iron Wing and GamerLegion in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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