Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
PuckChamp face Team Lynx in an Asgard Championship Playoffs best-of-three, and the market’s 100% YES price reflects that the series is effectively the sole settlement path before the window closes. The most recent comparable meeting favours PuckChamp: they beat Team Lynx 2-0 on 20 July, which is the clearest head-to-head datapoint in the set and suggests they have already solved the matchup once this season.[2][5][16]
The broader form picture is less clean than the head-to-head. PuckChamp’s recent month has been choppy, with sources citing roughly 30% win rate and four defeats in five, while Team Lynx are also described as uneven, with around 20% recent-month form in one preview but stronger six-month numbers in another.[2][4][7] That split helps explain why a full sweep is not priced in, even with PuckChamp holding the better direct record and slightly stronger ranking position in some listings.[5][12]
For traders, the key catalysts are whether the published line-ups hold and whether the series starts on schedule. Multiple match pages list confirmed starters for both sides, including Yuragi for PuckChamp and VladikTheHtiviy, QBFY, mellojul, kreker and Igris for Team Lynx, so any late substitution would be the main line-moving event.[2][12] The match is also listed with a 7 August UTC start, and any postponement beyond the settlement rules would shift the market away from a straightforward team result.[1][14]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard … on احتمالات كأس العالم
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