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توقع: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Football snapshot for "توقع: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $843K Liquidity: $877K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?90%
Match Winner62%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?51%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%

Market context

Vici Gaming and Yakult Brothers are meeting in a best-of-three playoff series in the Games of the Future, with the market effectively pricing a full match rather than a cancellation or walkover. The listed start time is 11:00 GMT, which aligns with the 7:00 AM ET schedule in the market description, so the main settlement risk is not timing drift but whether the series actually plays to completion.[6]

The head-to-head has been split in recent months, which helps explain why a 100% “YES” price looks more like a view on the match going ahead than on one side dominating. Vici beat Yakult Brothers 2-1 in the The International 2026 China Regional Qualifier, but Yakult Brothers won the earlier qualifier meeting 2-0, and they also took a 1-2 series in BLAST Slam VII China Closed Qualifier; across those results, neither side has established a clean edge.[8][11][14] Liquipedia’s recent match history also shows both teams playing a similar cadence of qualifier and playoff series through late January and June, with no sign of a dramatic long-run form gap that would normally force a one-sided market.[19]

For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: official bracket confirmation, any last-minute roster swaps, and whether the series starts on time given the narrow settlement window. The current live listings already show the fixture as scheduled, which reduces uncertainty around whether the match is on the card, but not around completion risk if the event runs late or is interrupted.[2][6][15] In practical terms, the strongest drivers are still operational rather than performance-based: confirmed line-ups, no technical forfeits, and no schedule change pushing the series beyond the seven-day fallback rule in the contract.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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