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توقع: York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Crawley Town FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $150K Liquidity: $635K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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توقع: York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Crawley Town FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Crawley Town FC O/U 0.5100%
Crawley Town FC O/U 1.5100%
Crawley Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Crawley Town FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
York City FC (-1.5)0%
York City FC (-2.5)0%
Crawley Town FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
York City FC O/U 0.50%
York City FC O/U 1.50%
York City FC O/U 2.50%
Crawley Town FC O/U 2.50%
York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Crawley Town FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Crawley Town FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

York City face Crawley Town in the EFL Cup, with the market currently pricing the “more markets” line at an implied 0% yes. The historical framing is thin but useful: the sides have met only a handful of times in competitive football, with recent head-to-head records split by narrow margins and a run of low-to-moderate scoring results, including a 2-2 draw and a 1-0 Crawley win in their last league-era meetings.[3][7][13]

Form lines from late spring also point in opposite directions. Crawley ended their League Two campaign with a mixed spell that included draws against Salford, Accrington and Shrewsbury, while York came into the summer on a stronger run in the National League, finishing with wins over Yeovil, Tamworth, Altrincham, Boston United and Woking before a draw at Rochdale.[1] That contrast matters because cup ties between clubs from different divisions often hinge less on headline quality and more on whether the lower-tier side can carry summer continuity into a first competitive fixture.[1][14]

The main trader catalysts are team news and whether either manager rotates heavily for a first-round cup tie. The line can move sharply once starting XIs are confirmed, especially if York rest key attackers after a promotion push or Crawley field a more settled League Two core; the current live match listings indicate the fixture is active on major score and preview feeds, but no verified injury or suspension update is evident in the results provided.[2][8][12] If a late absence lands in either defence, the most sensitive “more markets” angles are usually card, corner and goal totals rather than the outright result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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