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توقع: Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 77% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 59% Paris FC O/U 0.5 51% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 51% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $334K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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توقع: Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.577%
2nd Half O/U 1.559%
Paris FC O/U 0.551%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Paris FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Paris FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Paris FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Paris FC 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.549%
O/U 1.540%
Both Teams to Score27%
O/U 2.517%
Paris FC O/U 1.514%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.514%
Paris FC (-1.5)9%
Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)8%
O/U 3.55%
Paris FC O/U 2.53%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.53%
Paris FC (-2.5)2%
Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)2%
O/U 4.51%
O/U 5.51%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half (-2.5)1%
Paris FC 1st Half (-2.5)1%
Paris FC 1st Half (-1.5)1%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half (-1.5)1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Paris FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Paris FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of توقع: paris fc vs. olympique lyonnais - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for September 12 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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