Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| En Avant Guingamp | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 0% |
Market context
En Avant Guingamp host US Boulogne Côte d’Opale in a Ligue 2 fixture at Stade du Roudourou, with the market already pricing a near-certain home result. Guingamp came into the game off a 2-1 opening-day defeat at Metz, while Boulogne’s first league outing was a draw, so the current probability is far more aggressive than the immediate points picture suggests.
Historically, this sort of price tends to reflect a strong home-side edge plus a fragile away profile, but the numbers on this pairing still point to caution. Guingamp’s recent head-to-head edge includes a 3-0 win over Boulogne at Roudourou in January 2026, which will support home confidence, yet several pre-match models still framed the contest as tighter than a routine home banker. That gap between a dominant market and a more balanced statistical read is usually where late team-news matters most.
The main trader focus is squad availability. Reports on 14 August said Guingamp were expected to be without Ott and N’Landu long term, while Jeovanni Dianganga had a cheville issue after the Metz match and had not trained properly earlier in the week, though the rest of the squad was described as available. Any late confirmation on Dianganga, plus confirmed starting XIs and whether Boulogne rotate after their own opening fixture, is the key catalyst before kick-off.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $62K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: En Avant Guingamp vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: En Avant Guingamp vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →