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توقع: Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $226K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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توقع: Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 0.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 1.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 2.5100%
Kashima Antlers O/U 0.5100%
Kashima Antlers O/U 1.5100%
Kashima Antlers O/U 2.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Kashima Antlers 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Kashima Antlers 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Kashima Antlers 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)0%
Kashima Antlers (-1.5)0%
Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)0%
Kashima Antlers (-2.5)0%
Kashima Antlers 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Yokohama F·Marinos 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Yokohama F. Marinos host Kashima Antlers in a J1 League meeting that has often produced tight, high-leverage swings rather than a one-sided pattern. Across the recent head-to-head record, Kashima hold the edge overall, with FotMob showing 20 Kashima wins, 14 Marinos wins and five draws, while FootyStats lists 17 Kashima wins, 11 Marinos wins and four draws in the last 32 meetings.[2][4] The most recent comparable results also lean Kashima’s way: Kashima beat Marinos 2-1 on 6 December 2025, then won 1-0 in February 2026, while the sides drew 1-1 in May 2026.[1][7][8] That history matters because a 0% yes price on “more markets” implies the market is assuming no further linked outcomes will be added, yet this fixture has repeatedly been competitive enough to generate multiple late-market shifts when line-ups or match state changed.[1][2]

For traders, the main catalysts are team-news timing and any dependency on late squad updates before kick-off. There is no confirmed injury or suspension information in the supplied results, so the sharpest move would come from official pre-match line-ups, especially if either side rotates key attackers or defenders after a short turnaround.[1][3] Kashima’s recent form has been slightly more stable than Marinos’ in the samples available, with a stronger defensive run in the last five listed head-to-head comparables and several low-scoring outcomes for Kashima, which can affect derivative markets such as goals, cards and corners.[5][12][15] If either club confirms an unchanged XI or an unexpected absentee, that is the kind of update that typically re-prices ancillary markets before settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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