Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 80% |
| Draw | 19% |
| FC Anyang | 3% |
Market context
FC Anyang and Daejeon Hana Citizen meet in the K League 1 with the market implying only a 3% chance of a **YES** outcome, which is a very thin price for a fixture that has not been one-sided in recent seasons. The head-to-head record is broadly balanced: FotMob lists Daejeon with 13 wins, Anyang with 9, and 13 draws, while other databases show 32-36 meetings with Daejeon holding a narrow overall edge and a high draw rate.[1][2][9] The most recent league meeting finished 1-1 in Daejeon on 2 March 2026, and recent clashes have also included a 3-2 Anyang win and another draw, which is the sort of history that usually keeps underdog pricing alive even when the headline record favours one side.[4][13][14]
For traders, the main catalysts are the matchday line-ups and any late absence news, because the available stats point to both teams carrying modest recent scoring numbers rather than a clear mismatch. AiScore’s recent form snapshot shows Anyang with one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five, while Daejeon have two wins, one draw and two defeats, with both sides allowing goals at a rate that can swing a tight market quickly if either defence is weakened.[2] The same source also shows both sides have been involved in relatively open games, especially Daejeon, whose last-five total-goals over rate is listed at 80%.[2] With kickoff on a Saturday and settlement tied to the 11:00 UTC window, any confirmed starting XI, suspension or injury update close to team announcement time is the obvious line-moving dependency.[11]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on احتمالات كأس العالم
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