Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 Games | 73% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 72% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 57% |
| Game 4 Winner | 54% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 54% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 53% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 53% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 53% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 52% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 52% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 52% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 52% |
| Match Winner | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 51% |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| Game 2 Winner | 49% |
| Game 3 Winner | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 42% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 36% |
| Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 34% |
| Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 34% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 25% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 25% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 22% |
| Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 14% |
| Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 14% |
Market context
Market consensus: 73% chance of توقع: lol: g2 esports vs karmine corp (bo5) - lec playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This mar…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Pl… on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →