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توقع: LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $187K Liquidity: $178K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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توقع: LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)0%

Market context

توقع: LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between SU Esports and Bushido Wildcats in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "SU Es…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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